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September, 2005 Archives | Homepage

Wild Gorillas Seen Using Tools

The BBC reports that scientists have observed wild gorillas making use of tools like sticks and tree trunks to perform various tasks.
The scientists said they had seen gorillas use tools to navigate swampy ground.

One gorilla reportedly used a stick to test the depth of a puddle in her path.

Another is said to have been seen using a tree trunk as a support while digging for herbs, and as a bridge to cross swampy ground.

"This is a truly astounding discovery," team leader Thomas Breuer said in a statement quoted by the Associated Press news agency.
The article says this is the first time gorillas have been seen using simple tools in the wild. It is a good thing our brains are still evolving now that it appears gorillas may be starting to catch up with us.

Posted on September 30, 2005
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Bird Flu Could Kill 150 Million. U.S. Unprepared.

The BBC reports taht Dr. David Nabarro, a UN health official, has warned that bird flu outbreak could kill 5 to 150 million people worldwide.
Dr Nabarro stressed he would be working hard to control bird flu through contact with farming communities and markets where birds are sold and looking at the migration of wild birds.

He said the number of deaths from any future influenza pandemic would depend on where it started, how quickly it was discovered and the kind of response they got from governments.

"The range of deaths could be anything between 5m and 150m," said Dr Nabarro.

"I believe that the work we're doing over the next few months will make the difference between, for example, whether the next pandemic leads us in the direction of 150 or in the direction of five. "So our effectiveness will be directly measured in lives saved and the consequences for the world."
The warnings are everywhere about the risk of bird flu and many experts believe we are not prepared for what could happen. Senator Bill Frist has also warned that the U.S. is unprepared for a bird flu outbreak. This sounds like something that should be urgently looked into given how unprepared the U.S. was for Hurricane Katrina.

Posted on September 29, 2005
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Katrina, Rita And Global Warming

Two powerful category five hurricanes, Rita and Katrina, in the Gulf of Mexico within three weeks of each other combined with above average activity in the tropics for several years has everyone wondering if the feared impact of global warming has arrived. The mainstream media now frequently reports on and discusses global warming. CNN reports that powerful hurricanes are now more common. The Financial Times reports that former Vice President Al Gore says Katrina shows the effects of climate change. And Time magazine ran a cover story called Are We Making Hurricanes Worse.
If 2005 goes down as the worst hurricane season on record in the North Atlantic, it will join 2004 as one of the most violent ever. And these two seasons are part of a trend of increasingly powerful and deadly hurricanes that has been playing out for more than 10 years. Says climatologist Judy Curry, chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology: "The so-called once-in-a-lifetime storm isn't even once in a season anymore."

Head-snapping changes in the weather like this inevitably raise the question, Is global warming to blame? For years, environmentalists have warned that one of the first and most reliable signs of a climatological crash would be an upsurge in the most violent hurricanes, the kind that thrive in a suddenly warmer world. Scientists are quick to point out that changes in the weather and climate change are two different things. But now, after watching two Gulf Coast hurricanes reach Category 5 in the space of four weeks, even skeptical scientists are starting to wonder whether something serious might be going on.

"There is no doubt that climate is changing and humans are partly responsible," says Kevin Trenberth, head of the climate-analysis section at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colo. "The odds have changed in favor of more intense storms and heavier rainfalls." Says NCAR meteorologist Greg Holland: "These are not small changes. We're talking about a very large change."
But for Weather Channel meteorologist Stu Ostro is wasn't just the back-to-back category 5's that make him an ex-skeptic of global warming. Ostro blogs that the incredibly hot summer has also played a role.
While the headline-getting weather news story has been Hurricane Rita, temperatures have been ridiculously high for this time of year across a good chunk of the country. I mean, c'mon ... highs in the 90s all over the place and even 100+ degrees in many locations, within a week or two of October?!

There was a time at which reading anything more into that would have been the last thing you'd ever hear from me. I was a certified Global Warming Skeptic. As most climate scientists came to conclude that humans were changing the climate and those changes were significant, I, priding myself on also being an Objective Meteorologist, vehemently resisted as a result of what I felt was insufficient evidence.

I eventually came to the judgment that I was wrong and global warming was real, largely caused by human activities, and profoundly changing the planet on which we live. Even so, I was particularly opposed to the notion of "blaming" global warming for any single weather event. To this day I think that a lot of discretion needs to be used in making such connections.
And this summer has been hot. NASA says this was the hottest summer in 400 years. And a new BBC article says the ice in Antarctica is melting even faster than ever and could be completely gone by 2060.
The Arctic climate varies naturally, but the researchers conclude that human-induced global warming is at least partially responsible.

They warn the shrinkage could lead to even faster melting in coming years.

"September 2005 will set a new record minimum in the amount of Arctic sea ice cover," said Mark Serreze, of the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Boulder, Colorado.

"It's the least sea ice we've seen in the satellite record, and continues a pattern of extreme low extents of sea ice which we've now seen for the last four years," he told BBC News.


Posted on September 28, 2005
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Will We Get to Hurricane Alpha?

This hurricane season has been known for its destructive power and category five storms but it is also above average for the number of storms. There are just four names left to use this year: Stan, Tammy, Vince and Wilma. You can see a list of the names for 2005-2010 on this NHC page. After Wilma the National Hurricane Center says the next names will come from greek letters:
In the event that more than 21 named tropical cyclones occur in the Atlantic basin in a season, additional storms will take names from the Greek alphabet: Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and so on.
So after Wilma you would have Tropical Storm Alpha or Hurricane Alpha depending on the strength of the storm. There are still a few days in September and the hurricane season officially runs until the end of November so it is possible that there could be a TS Alpha or Hurricane Alpha this year. SciGuy also has a post on this subject and the Sun-Sentinel's blog has also blogged about running out of names earlier this season.

Posted on September 27, 2005
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Max Mayfield: Expect More Hurricanes

The Associated Press reports that Max Mayfield, the Director of the National Hurricane Center, recently gave Congress some news they didn't want to hear. Mayfield told them to expect more hurricanes and that this is a new cycle of increased hurricane activity.
Max Mayfield told a congressional panel that he believes the Atlantic Ocean is in a cycle of increased hurricane activity that parallels an increase that started in the 1940s and ended in the 1960s.

The ensuing lull lasted until 1995, then "it's like somebody threw a switch," Mayfield said. The number and power of hurricanes increased dramatically.
Mayfield also told Congress to expect more hurricanes this year and listed some cities vulnerable to hurricanes like New York City.
Mayfield also listed a number of cities and regions in addition to New Orleans he believes are "especially vulnerable" to damage from a major hurricane: Houston and Galveston, Texas; Tampa; southern Florida and the Florida Keys; New York City and Long Island; and New England.

"Katrina will not be the last major hurricane to hit a vulnerable area," he said.
What the NHC really needs is a boost in funding to increase their small staff and measuring equipment. If forecasts could better perfected then you might avoid situations like Hurricane Rita where millions of people in the city of Houston was evacuated even though Rita moved east and missed the major metropolitan area.

Posted on September 26, 2005
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Rita Becomes a Major Tornado Threat

Rita has been downgraded to a tropical depression and has moved away from the Texas and Louisiana coast. Unfortunately, she has become a severe weather and torando threat. This webpage which lists current tornado and severe weather warnings has been showing a new tornado warning every few minutes. Yesterday, Rita produced 21 tornadoes yesterday and has already exceeded that number today. The Storm Prediction Center provides information about current severe weather and also tracks recorded wind damage reports and tornado reports.

Rita's remnants are currently headed east into Alabama. They are forecast to evenutally end up in the Northeast as a rain producer. Hopefully, Rita will not break Hurricane Frances' record of 117 tornado reports from a hurricane. This NOAA article talks about the tornadoes produced by hurricanes last year:
"The number of tornadoes associated with tropical storms and hurricanes was extraordinary and can be partially blamed for the high number of overall tornado reports," McCarthy said. Tropical Storm Bonnie and five land-falling hurricanes?Charley, Frances, Gaston, Ivan and Jeanne?affected the mid-Atlantic and Southeast states during August and September. Tornadoes frequently occur in the northeast quadrant of northward advancing tropical systems or their remnants.

Hurricane Frances produced the most tornadoes for a tropical system with a preliminarily number of 117 reports. Frances tops Hurricane Beulah, which spawned 115 tornadoes in September 1967. Hurricane Ivan was close with 104 tornado reports, and a total of 16 tornadoes were reported in association with Hurricane Jeanne.


Posted on September 25, 2005
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Hurricane Rita Now a Category Four

Hurricane Rita is now a category four hurricane sustained winds of 135mph. Rita is closing in on landfall which is expected to be somewhere between Galveston and the Texas-Louisiana border. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has slowly been moving the forecast more to the east over the past couple days. If landfall is closer to the TX/LA border as anticipated then Houston should be spared the worst of the storm but cities like Beaumont and Port Athur will get the worst. This page on the NHC's website shows local hurricane impacts for specific counties in the path of Hurricane Katrina. More resources for Hurricane Rita can be found here on BloggersBlog.com.

Posted on September 23, 2005
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Hurricane Hunters Spot Hot Towers in Hurricane Rita

NASA has some 3-D images that hurricane hunters have been taking of Hurricane Rita. On the right is what NASA is calling a Hot Tower. Hot Towers are towering thunderstorms that may signify the onset of intensification in these high-octane storms. The images were taken back when Hurricane Rita was at her peak as a Cat 5 hurricane.
NASA's Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite reveals a remarkable feature in this 3-D cat scan of Hurricane Rita - a pair of gigantic chimney clouds reaching more than 11 miles high. That is equivalent to 60,000 feet, or twice as high as a commercial airplane's cruising altitude. TRMM observed these hot towers in Hurricane Rita on September 19, 2005 during a period of brief intensification.


Posted on September 22, 2005
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Hurricane Rita is now a Category Five

Hurricane Rita is now a category five hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 165mph and an estimated minimum central pressure of 908mb.
DATA FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT RITA HAS REACHED CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY WITH ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF 165 MPH. THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE 4 PM CDT ADVISORY.
The storm is still forecast to reach the Texas coast late Friday or early Saturday. Our BloggersBlog.com website has links to blogs and news coverage for Hurricane Rita in its Hurricane Rita section.

Posted on September 21, 2005
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Powerful Hurricane Rita Heads Towards Texas

Hurricane Rita is now a powerful category four hurricane with 140 mph sustained winds. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) still shows the storm tracking in just south of the Galveston Bay area. However, as the NHC says a hurricane is not just a point on a map. Rita will be a large storm so many miles of coastline will be impacted and not just where the storm makes landfall. This was a lesson learned well with Hurricane Katrina which flooded New Orleans and devastated the entire coast of Mississippi and up to several miles inland. Rita could actually be stronger than the 140 mph sustained winds presently assigned to it. The NHC's hurricane hunter aircraft have been having computer problems and have not been able to measure the storm -- but they are expected to get an accurate measurement of the storm's winds later today. The 5PM EST advisory should give the correct wind speed. A feature on the extensive damage a powerful hurricane like Hurricane Rita could do the Houston area can be found here. A video feature called the Serpent's Coil can be found here. BloggersBlog.com has a post with some of the other blogs discussing Hurricane Rita. And some of these blogs discussing Katrina's aftermath are discussing Hurricane Rita as well.

Posted on September 21, 2005
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Rita Threatens Florida Keys Then Texas Coast

Rita is currently a tropical storm with sustained winds of 65 mph. Rita is forecast to soon become a hurricane and travel just south of the Florida Keys. Beyond the Keys the storm is expected to become a major hurricane (Cat 3 or higher) in the Gulf of Mexico. The current path after five days has Rita targeting the Galveston, Texas area but the four to five day forecasts often change. Dr. Jeff Masters blogs that New Orleans and Alabama are not yet risk-free from Rita just yet.
The entire stretch of coast from 500 miles south of Brownsville, Texas to Mobile, Alabama is at risk -- no one can say with any confidence where Rita will hit this far in advance. Texas and Louisiana are at the highest risk. The current model trend is to recurve Rita earlier and earlier, so residents from Corpus Christi to New Orleans need to be particulary concerned.
The latest forecast path and status of future hurricane Rita can be found on the National Hurricane Center's website. The Miami Herald is also offering special coverage here. The Sun-Sentinel also has a hurricane section located here.

Posted on September 19, 2005
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NASA's $100 Billion Moon Plan

CNN reports that NASA has developed a $100 billion plan to return to the moon in 2018. The moon missions will show that man can live off resources found on the moon. It will require the building of new spacecraft.
NASA's plan envisions being able to land four-person human crews anywhere on the Moon's surface and to eventually use the system to transport crew members to and from a lunar outpost that it would consider building on the lunar south pole, according to the charts, because of the regions elevated quantities of hydrogen and possibly water ice.

One of NASA's reasons for going back to the Moon is to demonstrate that astronauts can essentially "live off the land" by using lunar resources to produce potable water, fuel and other valuable commodities.

Such capabilities are considered extremely important to human expeditions to Mars which, because of the distances involved, would be much longer missions entailing a minimum of 500 days spent on the planet's surface.
The CNN article also describes some of the spacecraft NASA will need to be build like the Crew Launch Vehicle and Crew Exploration Vehicle.
NASA's Crew Exploration Vehicle is expected to cost $5.5 billion to develop, according to government and industry sources, and the Crew Launch Vehicle another $4.5 billion. The heavy-lift launcher, which would be capable of lofting 125 metric tons of payload, is expected to cost more than $5 billion but less than $10 billion to develop, according to these sources.

NASA's plan also calls for using the Crew Exploration Vehicle, equipped with as many as six seats, to transport astronauts to and from the international space station. An unmanned version of the Crew Exploration Vehicle could be used to deliver a limited amount of cargo to the space station.
MSNBC also has a similar article about NASA's plans. Space.com also has more information about future NASA missions here and here.

Posted on September 18, 2005
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Feathersaurus Rex

A Times Online tells how some scientists no longer believe that dinosaurs looked sleek and reptilian. Instead the had feathers and acted more bird-like. Paleontologist Gareth Dyke even says that dinosaurs may have looked more like "giant chicks."
Most predatory dinosaurs such as tyrannosaurs and velociraptors have usually been depicted in museums, films and books as covered in a thick hide of dull brown or green skin. The impression was of a killer stripped of adornment in the name of hunting efficiency.

This week, however, a leading expert on dinosaur evolution will tell the British Association, the principal conference of British scientists, that this image is wrong.

Gareth Dyke, a palaeontologist of University College Dublin, will tell the BA Festival of Science being held in the city that most such creatures were coated with delicate feathery plumage that could even have been multi-coloured. Fossil evidence that such dinosaurs were feathered is now "irrefutable".

"The way these creatures are depicted can no longer be considered scientifically accurate," he said. "All the evidence is that they looked more like birds than reptiles. Tyrannosaurs might have resembled giant chicks."
Meat-eating chickens weighing several tons still sounds frightening but it would ruin the image we have been raised with if tyrannosaurs really looked more like chickens. What about the Allosaurus? His name is supposed to mean "terrible lizard." Should he really be known as a terrible chicken?

Posted on September 16, 2005
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Katrina Named Most Destructive U.S. Storm Ever

ABC News reports that Hurricane Katrina has been named the most destructive U.S. storm ever by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Katrina was unusual not only for its powerful winds and low minimum central pressure but it was also a very large hurricane with hurricane force winds extending out for 120 miles.
Katrina's sustained winds reached 175 mph and its minimum central pressure dropped as low as 902 millibars the fourth lowest on record for an Atlantic hurricane, NOAA's National Climatic Data Center reported.

The storm weakened slightly before it reached landfall and had less powerful winds than Hurricane Camille, which devastated coastal Mississippi in August, 1969.

But the size of Katrina, with hurricane force winds extending 120 miles from its center, was much larger and the destruction more widespread than Camille.

The central pressure in a hurricane is a good indicator of the strength of the winds of the storm. The strongest observed hurricane in the Atlantic basin was Gilbert in 1988 with a pressure of 888 millibars in the northwest Caribbean. Normal average sea level air pressure is 1,016 millibars.
According to the ABC News article damage estimates for Katrina are as high as $120 billion for the economic impact and $60 billion for the cost to insurers. This far surpasses the damage from Hurricane Andrew which cost $21 billion. Until Katrina hit Andrew was the costliest U.S. hurricane on record.

Posted on September 15, 2005
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Ophelia Strengthens and Slowly Moves Toward Coast

Ophelia is once again a hurricane after stregthening over the gulfstream. The storm is moving very slowly toward the coasts of South and North Carolina. The slow movement will make Ophelia a long duration event for South and North Carolina residents that wind up in her path. Here is an excerpt from the National Hurricane Center's 11 PM EST discussion.
THIS TROUGH WILL NOT BE DEEP ENOUGH TO SIGNIFICANTLY ACCELERATE THE CYCLONE... HOWEVER...AND THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN AN EXCRUCIATINGLY LONG PASSAGE OF THE HURRICANE ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE SLOW MOTION...COUPLED WITH THE RATHER LARGE RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WIND...IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN EXTENDED PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH WINDS AT OR NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...OVER MUCH OF THE WARNING AREA.
The storm is large with hurricane force winds extending out for 50 miles and tropical storm force winds extending out for 140 miles. The Associated Press reports that vulnerable islands on the coast of North Carolina have been evacuated. The latest updates from the NHC can be found here.

Posted on September 13, 2005
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Bug Eats Fish Tongue. Then Becomes Fish Tongue

Cymothoa Exigua The BBC reports that a bizarre bug that literally eats the tongue of a fish and then manuevers itself to become the "replacement tongue" for the fish has now been discovered in Britain.
The bug - which has the scientific name cymothoa exigua - was discovered inside the mouth of a red snapper bought from a London fishmonger.

The 3.5cm creature had grabbed onto the fish's tongue and slowly ate away at it until only a stub was left.

It then latched onto the stub and became the fish's "replacement tongue".
The BBC article says that scientists claim the bugs only eat fish tongues which is good news for us humans. More information about the unusual bug (cymothoa exigua) can be found here.

Posted on September 12, 2005
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Ophelia Continues to Perplex Forecasters

After stalling just off the east coast of South Carolina, Hurricane Ophelia appears to be finally making its move. As of the 5PM advistory from the National Hurricane Center says the storm has winds of 75mph making it a Category 1 hurricane. The NHC says little change is strength is expected over the next 24 hours. The storm is now forecast to either make landfall somewhere in SC or NC or just skirt the outerbanks before moving out to sea. It is also still possible the storm could miss the U.S. East Coast entirely and head out to sea. The storm could also skim the east coast which would make things interesting for east coast residents. Hopefully the storm will not intensify beyond a Cat 1 and the damage will be on the lighter side. However, Ophelia is a large storm with tropical storm force winds extending out for 160 miles from the center of the storm. If a storm of this size does skim the east coast there could be significant problems such as downed trees and power lines and long delays at major airports.

For those looking for Hurricane Katrina information we continue to provide updates on our Hurricane Katrina section at bloggersblog.com.

Posted on September 11, 2005
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What is Causing the Oregon Bulge?

The U.S. Geological Survey is still uncertain what is causing the lake-sized bulge in Oregon that has been expanding since 1997. The Associated Press says the USG suspects a pool of magma is behind the bulge. It could possibly be a new volcano.
They say it probably began growing in 1997 and has been rising ever since at a rate of about 1.4 inches a year. It was first observed from space using a relatively new imaging technology known as radar interferometry that can measure changes in the Earth's surface.

The likely cause of the bulge is a pool of magma that, according to Deschutes National Forest geologist Larry Chitwood, is equal in size to a lake 1 mile across and 65 feet deep.

The magma lake is rising 10 feet each year, under tremendous pressure, and it deforms the Earth's surface as it expands, causing the bulge.

Other causes could be anything from the birth of a new volcano - a fourth Sister in the making - to a routine and anticlimactic pooling of liquid rock, researchers say.
Deschutes National Forest geologist Larry Chitwood told the AP that the good news is that if it is a volcano it should not affect any major population areas. That's welcomed news considering we have had one disaster this year already. For more information, Slashdot has a discussion of the Oregon bulge.

Posted on September 8, 2005
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Three More Tropical Storms

Three more tropical storms have formed in this very active hurricane season. The three storms are Maria, Nate and Ophelia. More information about them can be found on the National Hurricane Center's website. Maria and Nate are forecast to move away from the United States and out to sea. Ophelia's forecast is much less certain. The five-day forecast has it staying off the Florida coast but not moving very far during that time period. The NHC also says it could make landfall on the Florida coast sometime during the next five days. They are much less certain about the forecast of Ophelia than they were with Katrina. Tropical Storm Ophelia is forecast to become a hurricane. If you are looking for coverage of Hurricane Katrina you can find links and updates here

Posted on September 7, 2005
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