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Katrina-like Storm Hitting South Florida Would be a Catastrophe

A storm with Hurricane Katrina's size and strength would deal a catastrophic blow to Southern Florida. The Miami Herald reports on a recent study that looked at what would happen if a large powerful hurricane hit South Florida.
Seven feet of seawater swamps Key Biscayne and 45 miles of coastline from Miami Beach to Deerfield Beach. Saltwater surges through some houses in Hollywood, Coconut Grove and elsewhere. Waist-deep freshwater blankets vast regions of suburban Broward and Miami-Dade counties.

Ferocious winds crush tens of thousands of roofs and gut numerous office buildings. Residents who defy orders to evacuate skyscrapers in Miami Beach, on Hollywood's beach and along Miami's downtown corridors could be blown out of their apartments. Power outages persist for months rather than weeks.

According to simulations conducted for The Miami Herald by scientists at the National Hurricane Center and interviews with a wide range of experts, those are not merely theoretical worst-case scenarios.
The hurricane season officially begins on June 1st and everyone living near the coast is hoping that this season will not by anything like last year's devastating and record breaking season. Florida is especially storm-weary after the last two seasons.

Posted on May 9, 2006
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Two Tornadoes Hit New Orleans

Reuters reports that tornadoes struck the New Orleans regions that were already damaged by Hurricane Katrina last September. The twisters caused damage to the Louis Armstrong International Airport.
"Don't ever ask the question, `What else could happen?'" said Marcia Paul Leone, a mortgage banker who was surveying the new damage to her Katrina-flooded home.

She would go no farther than the front porch of her house Thursday morning. Windows were blown out, and the building appeared to be leaning.

"I've been in the mortgage business for 20 years. I know when something's unsafe," she said.

Electricity was knocked out at Louis Armstrong International Airport, rounding passenger flights and leaving travelers to wait in a dimly lit terminal powered by generators. The storm also ripped off part of a concourse roof, slammed one jetway into another, and flipped motorized runway luggage carts.
The AP article said the NWS believes the damage was caused by two tornadoes.

Posted on February 3, 2006
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Lots of Lightning in 2005's Major Hurricanes

We already know that the 2005 hurricane season shattered records but another mystery about the season was the amount of lightning is several of the year's major hurricanes. Rita, Katrina, and Emily all had lots of lightning according to a LiveScience.com article.
A hurricane's winds are mostly horizontal, not vertical. So the vertical churning that leads to lightning doesn't normally happen.

Lightning has been seen in hurricanes before. During a field campaign in 1998 called CAMEX-3, scientists detected lightning in the eye of hurricane Georges as it plowed over the Caribbean island of Hispaniola. The lightning probably was due to air forced upward—called "orographic forcing"—when the hurricane hit the mountains.

"Hurricanes are most likely to produce lightning when they're making landfall," says Blakeslee. But there were no mountains beneath the "electric hurricanes" of 2005—only flat water.

It's tempting to think that, because Emily, Rita and Katrina were all exceptionally powerful, their sheer violence somehow explains their lightning. But Blakeslee says that this explanation is too simple. "Other storms have been equally intense and did not produce much lightning," he says. "There must be something else at work."
While scientists try and solve this mystery they also have to prepare for whatever the 2006 hurricane season will bring. First the National Hurricane Center will have to wrap up 2005 -- they only just released the final data on Wilma's winds. We still have not read anything about the National Hurricane Center getting a much-needed boost in equipment and staff.

Posted on January 17, 2006
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Katrina Named Most Destructive U.S. Storm Ever

ABC News reports that Hurricane Katrina has been named the most destructive U.S. storm ever by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Katrina was unusual not only for its powerful winds and low minimum central pressure but it was also a very large hurricane with hurricane force winds extending out for 120 miles.
Katrina's sustained winds reached 175 mph and its minimum central pressure dropped as low as 902 millibars the fourth lowest on record for an Atlantic hurricane, NOAA's National Climatic Data Center reported.

The storm weakened slightly before it reached landfall and had less powerful winds than Hurricane Camille, which devastated coastal Mississippi in August, 1969.

But the size of Katrina, with hurricane force winds extending 120 miles from its center, was much larger and the destruction more widespread than Camille.

The central pressure in a hurricane is a good indicator of the strength of the winds of the storm. The strongest observed hurricane in the Atlantic basin was Gilbert in 1988 with a pressure of 888 millibars in the northwest Caribbean. Normal average sea level air pressure is 1,016 millibars.
According to the ABC News article damage estimates for Katrina are as high as $120 billion for the economic impact and $60 billion for the cost to insurers. This far surpasses the damage from Hurricane Andrew which cost $21 billion. Until Katrina hit Andrew was the costliest U.S. hurricane on record.

Posted on September 15, 2005
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Katrina Was the Big One. Season Not Over.

Unfortunately, it appears that Hurricane Katrina has been the "big one" for New Orleans with the city now filling up with water from several levee breaches. The reality is that this hurricane season is not over. The peak hurricane month is September with September 10th being the peak date for hurricane activity according to NOAA. The active period generally runs until the end of October. The National Hurricane Center was expecting this year to have above average hurricane activity. Fortunately, there is not another storm for concern at the moment. However, the NHC is keeping an eye on a tropical wave 1,400 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. For those interested in more coverage of Hurricane Katrina our BloggersBlog.com website has put together a very large list of resources covering the storm at BloggersBlog.com: Hurricane Katrina.

Posted on August 31, 2005
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Hurricane Katrina is a Catastrophe

Reports indicate that the flooding inside New Orleans is getting worse. A huge 200 feet wide levee breach is allowing more water to flood the city. The New Orleans mayor said that 80% of the city is flooded. Water rescues are ongoing in the residential areas of the city. Looting is reported to be occuring in the city. One county in Mississippi has already declared 50 deaths and hundreds may have been killed in the State of Mississippi. Flooding from the massive surge all along the Mississippi coast caused widespread devastation and there are expected to be many other bodies found in these towns. Mobile also received a huge storm surge with several feet of water reported inside the city. Tornadoes were spun off Katrina as she moved inland to the north. One F2 was even reported in Georgia. Fema has already declared the situation as "Catastrophic". The major news outlets such as MSNBC.com, Fox News and CNN are covering the storm. Local news can be found at Nola.com, WLTV and WDSU. Blogs covering the storm can be found on several posts from our BloggersBlog.com website.

Posted on August 30, 2005
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Katrina Makes Landfall as a Cat 4

Hurricane Katrina made lanfall at 610 AM CDT this morning as a Category 4 storm with winds of 140 mph in Southern Plaquemines Parish, Louisiana. The storm weakened from a Category 5 before landfall but Katrina was still a large and powerful category 4 storm. Katrina spread damage from wind and surge from New Orleans to Mobile. Here are some of the very early damage reports.

  • Part of the Superdome's roof was damaged. The Superdome was used as emergency shelter for thousands of New Orleans' residents.
  • Parts of New Orleans are under six feet of water.
  • 20 foot storm surge in Gulfport, MS that nearly trapped The Weather Channel's Jim Cantore and producer Simon Temperton.
  • Reports that it was "raining glass" in parts of New Orleans as windows popped in skyscrapers.
  • Large storm surge reported in Mobile, Alabama
  • An oil tanker broke free from its moorings.

    Katrina made a second landfall on the Louisiana-Mississippi border. The storm has since been downgraded to a Category 3 storm as it heads north in Mississippi -- which is still a very strong hurricane. Kartina will weaken as it continues to move inland but the National Hurricane Center says it may take as long as 12 hours to wind down to a tropical storm because "Hurricane Katrina has a such a large and powerful circulation that it will probably retain hurricane intensity for about 12 hours."

    Posted on August 29, 2005
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  • National Weather Service Issues Grave Warning for New Orleans

    With Hurricane Katrina now a Category 5 hurricane with 175 mph sustained winds and headed towards the New Orleans area the National Weather Service has issued the following frightening warning for the city at 1011 AM CDT Sun, August 28, 2005.
    ...Devastating damage expected...

    .Hurricane Katrina...a most powerful hurricane with unprecedented strength...rivaling the intensity of Hurricane Camille of 1969.

    Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks...perhaps longer. At least one half of well constructed homes will have roof and wall failure. All gabled roofs will fail...leaving those homes severely damaged or destroyed.

    The majority of industrial buildings will become non functional. partial to complete wall and roof failure is expected. All wood framed low rising apartment buildings will be destroyed. Concrete block low rise apartments will sustain major damage...including some wall and roof failure.

    High rise office and apartment buildings will sway dangerously...a few to the point of total collapse. All windows will blow out.

    Airborne debris will be widespread...and may include heavy items such as household appliances and even light vehicles. Sport utility vehicles and light trucks will be moved. The blown debris will create additional destruction. Persons...pets...and livestock exposed to the winds will face certain death if struck.

    Power outages will last for weeks...as most power poles will be down and transformers destroyed. Water shortages will make human suffering incredible by modern standards.

    The vast majority of native trees will be snapped or uprooted. Only the heartiest will remain standing...but be totally defoliated. Few crops will remain. Livestock left exposed to the winds will be killed.

    An inland hurricane wind warning is issued when sustained winds near hurricane force...or frequent gusts at or above hurricane force...are certain within the next 12 to 24 hours.

    Once tropical storm and hurricane force winds onset...do not venture outside!
    More information about Hurricane Katrina can be found on Nola.com and the National Hurricane Center's website.

    Posted on August 28, 2005
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    Katrina Now a Deadly Cat 5 Hurricane

    Katrina is now a category 5 hurricane with sustained winds of 160mph. Cat 5 hurricanes are capable of catastrophic damage due to the powerful winds and incredible storm surge. Katrina is still forecast to make landfall at or near the New Orleans metropolitan area. Dr. Jeff Masters blogs that the storm is already the sixth strongest hurricane ever measured in the Atlantic and that Katrina could achieve winds of 190mph.
    Maximum sustained winds at flight level during the 7am Hurricane Hunter mission into Katrina were 153 knots, which translates to 160 mph at the surface, making Katrina a minimal Category 5 hurricane. The winds are likely to increase to "catch up" to the rapidly falling pressure, and could approach the all-time record of 190 mph set in Camille and Allen. Winds of this level will create maximum storm surge heights over 25 feet, and this storm surge will affect an area at least double the area wiped clean by Camille, which was roughly half the size of Katrina. Katrina has continued to expand in size, and is now a huge hurricane like Ivan. Damage will be very widespread and extreme if Katrina can maintain Category 5 strength at landfall.
    Outerbands from Katrina are already starting to appear on the New Orleans Long Range Rader. The weather will continue to go downhill from now until Katrina makes landfall on Monday.

    Posted on August 28, 2005
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    Dangerous Hurricane Katrina Targets North Gulf Coast

    Katrina has strengthened to a Cat 3 storm is threatening the North Gulf Coast with the New Orleans metropolitan area in the center of the National Hurricane Center's forecast path. Katrina is expected to make landfall as a powerful Category 4 hurricane. A storm that powerful is a serious risk to the low lying New Orlean's metropolitan area and so the city is evacuating. Evacuation orders and information can be found on Nola.com. High quality graphics showing the forecast track and current computer forecast models can be found on SkeetobiteWeather.com. Katrina left millions without power in South Florida and people there are now waiting for ice, power restoration and insurance adjusters.

    Posted on August 27, 2005
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    Katrina Crossing South Florida Into Gulf

    Hurricane Katrina made landfall in South Florida north of Miami earlier today as an 80mph Category 1 hurricane. A blog provided by the Sun Sentinel reports hundreds of thousands of power outages, two deaths from falling trees, an overpass collapse and widespread damage at the Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport
    The storm caused widespread damage at Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport. High winds "shredded" the pedestrian canopy between Terminals 2 and 3, said Roger Desjarlais, the county administrator.

    The winds knocked over a small private plane, overturned an 18-wheeler truck, knocked down power lines on the west side of the airport and flattened fences along the south side. -- David Fleshler at the Broward Emergency Operations Center
    Katrina is now making its way WSW across South Florida and is expecting to enter the Gulf of Mexico tomorrow where it will head west before turning back to the North and eventually Northeast. A second landfall is expected to occur anywhere from the Mississipi coast to Florida's west coast according to the National Hurricane Center forecast. Katrina is also expected to be a stronger hurricane when it makes a second landfall.

    Posted on August 25, 2005
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