The Weather Channel captures amazing footage of a fast-moving twister in Wyoming. One of the videos lets you look up into the funnel of a tornado - this part is around 14 seconds into the clip.
A NASA-funded study suggests that conditions for the tornado that whipped through downtown Atlanta a year ago were created by heat and energy generated from the urban landscape. The Wall Street Journal reports that NASA's study suggests that tornadoes are likely to become more common. NASA also has a specific report about the Atlanta tornado here.
Snowflakes Photographed With a Snowflake Photomicroscope
New Scientist has an amazing gallery of snowflake photographs taken by Kenneth Libbrecht of CalTech. Kenneth Libbrect used a specially-designed snowflake photomicroscope. The photographs show real snow crystals that fell to earth in northern Ontario, Alaska, Vermont, the Michigan Upper Peninsula, and the Sierra Nevada mountains of California. You can see the gallery here.
This compelling video shows lightning in slow motion. As the Wikipedia entry for lightning notes, a bolt of lightning can travel at speeds of 60,000 m/s and reach temperatures approaching 54,000 degrees Fahrenheit. (video via BuzzFeed)
A rare string of powerful February tornadoes killed dozens of people and destroyed homes and businesses in the Mid-South. Wikipedia has been keep track. Currently, they show over fifty tornadoes in four states: Alabama, Arkanas, Kentucky and Tennessee. The death toll stands at 59. On Deadline has some links including this one that shows damage in the hard hit Union University.
You can read some of the reports filed by the National Weather Service here and here.
As you can see here and on the chart on the above right the early outbreak has put 2008 way above the norm for this time of year.
This Nightly News video show footage of some of the damage and investigates why some people didn't know these deadly tornadoes were on the way.
California is said to be likely to implement a plan that would allow give the state the emergency power to control people's thermostats. California could take over the themostats and set them at a desired temperature. As you might expect the plan has consumers outraged.
"You realize there are times - very rarely, once every few years - when you would be subject to a rotating outage and everything would crash including your computer and traffic lights, and you don't want to do that," said Arthur Rosenfeld, a member of the energy commission.
Reducing individual customers' electrical use - if necessary, involuntarily - could avoid that, Rosenfeld said. "If you can control rotating outages by letting everyone in the state share the pain," he said, "there's a lot less pain to go around."
While the proposals have received little attention in California, the Internet and talk radio are abuzz with indignation at the idea.
The radio-controlled thermostat is not a new technology, though it is constantly being tweaked; the latest iterations were on display this week at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas. Pacific Gas and Electric, the major utility in Northern California, already has a pilot program in Stockton that allows customers to choose to have their air-conditioning systems attached to a radio-controlled device to reduce use during periods when electricity rates are at their peak. But the idea that a government would mandate use of these devices and reserve the power to override a building owner's wishes galls some people.
"This is an outrage," one Californian said in an e-mail message to Rosenfeld. "We need to build new facilities to handle the growth in this state, not become Big Brother to the citizens of California."
The technology to do this is certainly feasible but the invasion of privacy is very great. People often having greatly differing temperature needs. Some people are hot or cold natured. The elderly often get cold easily and tend to set their thermostats at higher temperatures than young people.
Lack of Rain Causing Problems in Southeast and West
Two large areas in the United States are suffering from conditions created by a lack of rainfall. In the Southeast the rain problems are extremely serious. In the graphic on the right from the U.S. Drought Monitor you can see a large area of D4 drought conditions in the Southeast U.S. D4 stands for "exceptional drought." The full description for D4 is "Exceptional and widespread crop/pasture losses; shortages of water in reservoirs, streams, and wells creating water emergencies." Many people living in these areas have never before experienced such bone dry conditions. The latest news from the D4 drought area is that Lake Sidney Lanier - the metro Atlanta areas main source of water - has a mere three months of water supply left. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution has the story on the disappearing lake.
ake Sidney Lanier, metro Atlanta's main source of water, has about three months of storage left, according to state and federal officials.
That's three months before there's not enough water for more than 3 million metro Atlantans to take showers, flush their toilets and cook. Three months before there's not enough water in parts of the Chattahoochee River for power plants to make the steam necessary to generate electricity. Three months before part of the river runs dry.
"We've never experienced this situation before," state Environmental Protection Division Director Carol Couch said of the record-breaking drought and fast-falling lake.
In two weeks, Couch plans to give Gov. Sonny Perdue a list of options to further restrict water use by businesses and industries, along with an analysis of potential water savings and estimated job losses. Some exemptions to the state's ban on outdoor watering in north Georgia could end, including those applied to water-dependent businesses such as car washes, pressure washing companies and landscapers. Couch's staff is still working on the details.
In Southern California a dry spell has now created the opportunity for rare dust storms to form. A dust storm yesterday in Los Angeles county caused a highway pile-up with two fatalies and 16 injuries according to MSNBC.
"It's not unheard of for the area to experience a dust storm, but it's not an everyday type of thing," said meteorologist Jaime Meier in the weather service's Oxnard office.
Like the rest of California, the Antelope Valley has been bone-dry this year, receiving less than two inches of rain. The dryness means dirt and sand are not packed down in the ground and are more likely to swirl in the face of strong winds.
"It's just loose and is able to impact visibility just the same way as a blizzard," Meier said.
If the dry spell for both these regions isn't reversed soon conditions will just continue to worsen.
The heat and drought has been oppressive this year for humans but the risiing temperatures and lack of water is also very tough on wildlife. This news story from CBS explains how hard global warming will be on different types of creatures. Some may become more aggressive as they search for food and water. Local snake wranglers are getting more calls as rattlesnakes venture close to people's homes. Animals that live on the tops of mountains may go extinct as they have no where to go and ultimately perish in the abnormally high temperatures.
Rattlesnakes - everywhere. More than Bo Slyapich has seen in his 20-year career as a snake wrangler. The prolonged drought and extreme heat have combined to drive the thirsty and venomous creatures too close for comfort - back decks, play equipment - anywhere they can find shade.
What do they want?
"Food. Just like you go to the supermarket to go shopping, they come to our homes to go shopping," Slyapich says.
Not too far from the steps to homeowner Tom Mahan's family pool, there was a four-foot rattlesnake.
He's found them even sipping from his pool. Now he's taken protective measures.
"Half-inch grid galvanized fencing around the three-acre perimeter here, which keeps 99 percent of any kind of snakes out," Mahan said.
Deer and coyotes are coming down from the hills, too. A disoriented bear climbed up a utility pole in triple-digit heat.
"It is uncharted territory," said Paul Edelman of the Santa Monica Mountain Conservatory. "It is the equivalent of the stories you see on the big droughts in the African Serengetti plains where the animals drop three feet in front of the water hole."
This CBS video shows some of the snake wrangler removing rattle snakes from people's yard. It also shows some of the animals that are suffering.
The devastation caused by the powerful EF5 tornado that hit Greensburg, Kansas has now been captured on satellite images. Google blogs that with the help of one of its satellite providers they were able to make available before-and-after imagery.
On May 7th one of our satellite providers, DigitalGlobe, jumped into action and gathered imagery of the region for search-and-rescue teams. Today we are making this before-and-after imagery available as a Google Earth overlay. We think you'll agree that the imagery is quite powerful, and we hope it is a valuable resource for rescue teams, residents, and all of those touched by this natural disaster.
It's pretty clear in the images how tremendous the damage was.
Future Summers Look Extremely Hot For Eastern U.S. Cities
Temperatures for the eastern U.S. are expected to soar from global warming. By 2080 eastern U.S. cities will see average daily temperatures that are nearly 10 degrees above the norm. During dryer summers cities like Chicago, Washington, and Atlanta will see days in July and August where average daily temperatures reach between 100 and 110 degrees Fahrenheit according to a new NASA study.
A new study by NASA scientists suggests that greenhouse-gas warming may raise average summer temperatures in the eastern United States nearly 10 degrees Fahrenheit by the 2080s.
"There is the potential for extremely hot summertime temperatures in the future, especially during summers with less-than-average frequent rainfall," said lead author Barry Lynn of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia University, New York.
The research found that eastern U.S. summer daily high temperatures that currently average in the low-to-mid-80s (degrees Fahrenheit) will most likely soar into the low-to-mid-90s during typical summers by the 2080s. In extreme seasons – when precipitation falls infrequently – July and August daily high temperatures could average between 100 and 110 degrees Fahrenheit in cities such as Chicago, Washington, and Atlanta.
To reach their conclusions, the researchers analyzed nearly 30 years of observational temperature and precipitation data and also used computer model simulations that considered soil, atmospheric, and oceanic conditions and projected changes in greenhouse gases. The simulations were produced using a widely-used weather prediction model coupled to a global model developed by NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies.
The global model, one of the models used in the recently issued climate report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), was utilized in this study to identify future changes in large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns due to the build up of greenhouse gases. This information was then fed into the weather prediction model to forecast summer-to-summer temperature variability in the eastern United States during the 2080s.
The weather model showed that extreme summertime surface temperatures developed when carbon dioxide emissions were assumed to continue to increase about two percent a year, the "business as usual" scenario. These findings are too recent to be included in the latest IPCC report.
Daily averages between 100 and 100 degrees? Expect some serious misery and high air conditioning bills if this very long term forecast verifies.
Seattle's KING5.com is reporting that some strange mystery dust in the form of an "ash-like powder" has been coating the vehicles and homes of Pugent Sound residents.
"We've never seen anything like this," said David Creed.
About 30 miles away, residents in Lake Marcel north of Carnation awoke Sunday to the fine powder blanketing the neighborhood.
"Living out here in 40 years, I've never seen anything like it," said Beth Marcey.
"Kind of volcanic. It reminded me of when Mount St. Helens blew," said Bey Braun.
Above all, it has everyone scratching their heads.
So what is it tree pollen? A very thin layer of Volcanic ash? Pugent Sound residents want to know. KING5's article also has a link to a video from KING5 that provides a much better look at the dust.
Parts of Upstate New York have seen tons over snow over the past few days -- at least eight feet of it. The latest tally is 85 inches in Oswego country according to a 1010 WINS story. Some towns in Upstate New York have received 120 inches plus.
Persistent bands of squalls have swung up and down this part of central New York along the eastern shore of Lake Ontario since last Sunday, prompting Gov. Eliot Spitzer to declare a state disaster emergency in Oswego County.
The National Weather Service said Parish — about 25 miles northeast of Syracuse — reached a milestone early Saturday morning: 100 inches of snow over the past seven days. That was pushed to 110 inches by early Sunday with fresh snowfall. Unofficial reports pegged snowfall totals at 123 inches in Orwell and 131 in Redfield, but the weather service said those numbers included snow from a storm a couple of days before the latest run.
The winter wonderland was a magnet for snowmobilers, with one caveat — stopping was out of the question. Dan Hojnacki of Syracuse was having a blast, flying over snowbanks along Main Street until his yellow Ski-Doo ground to a halt in a small field and he struggled mightily to get it out.
"You can't stop or you're done," Hojnacki, 23, said. "I never got stuck until today, and I've been snowmobiling for 10 years."
Hojnacki figured to have plenty of company before the day ended. After a morning respite, the storm picked up in earnest just after noon Saturday, cutting visibility to near zero.
Photographs and footage from the snow weary area show mountains of snow, buried cars and people shoveling snow off their roofs. Some photographs can be found at 9WSYR, News10Now, Flickr and the BBC.
Stu Ostro explains why the snow keeps banding over the same areas in this post on the Weather Channel Blog. There is some long overdue snow coming for the Northeast this week. Accuweather's Henry Margusity is predicting a big storm with a widespread area getting a foot or more of snow.
Update: See a video of people digging out from all the snow here.
The AP reports that deadly ice storms in the Midwest and Southern United States have killed nearly 50 people.
Power lines were down, highways were treacherous and spring-like temperatures were only a memory Tuesday in parts of the Northeast in the wake of the storm that earlier had plastered the Midwest and Plains with a heavy shell of ice.
The death toll from the storm was at least 46 in seven states.
The weight of the ice snapped tree limbs, shorted out transformers and made power lines sag, knocking out current to about 145,000 customers in New York state and New Hampshire on Monday, though service had been restored for roughly half of them by Tuesday morning.
"If you live here long enough, you just know the power's going to go out twice a year, at least. You don't worry about it," said Scott Towne, owner of Rondac Pet Services near Saratoga Springs, N.Y., where portable generators provided light and heat for about two-dozen dogs. "You make all the plans in advance that you can."
An MSNBC article says over half a million homes and businesses are without electricity in the Midwest and Northeast. More details on the Plains ice storm can be found here on Accuweather meteorologist Steve Penstone's blog and here on the Weather Channel Blog. Most recently ice and snow has caused travel problems in Seattle and Portalnd. This video from King5.com shows cars basically turned into bumper cars as they repeatedly lose control and slam into each other.
NOAA's National Climatic Data Center reports that 2006 was the warmest on record for the U.S. The 2006 average temperature was 55°F - 2.2°F (1.2°C) above the 20th Century mean and 0.07°F (0.04°C) warmer than 1998. 1998 was the warmest U.S. year before 2006.
The 2006 average annual temperature for the contiguous U.S. was the warmest on record and nearly identical to the record set in 1998, according to scientists at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. Seven months in 2006 were much warmer than average, including December, which ended as the fourth warmest December since records began in 1895.
Based on preliminary data, the 2006 annual average temperature was 55°F - 2.2°F (1.2°C) above the 20th Century mean and 0.07°F (0.04°C) warmer than 1998. NOAA originally estimated in mid-December that the 2006 annual average temperature for the contiguous United States would likely be 2°F (1.1°C) above the 20th Century mean, which would have made 2006 the third warmest year on record, slightly cooler than 1998 and 1934, according to preliminary data. Further analysis of annual temperatures and an unusually warm December caused the change in records.
These values were calculated using a network of more than 1,200 U.S. Historical Climatology Network stations. These data, primarily from rural stations, have been adjusted to remove artificial effects resulting from factors such as urbanization and station and instrument changes which occurred during the period of record.
For the last three months of the year the warm temperatures helped reduce energy demand in the U.S.
The unusually warm temperatures during much of the first half of the cold season (October-December) helped reduce residential energy needs for the nation as a whole. Using the Residential Energy Demand Temperature Index (REDTI - an index developed at NOAA to relate energy usage to climate), NOAA scientists determined that the nation's residential energy demand was approximately 13.5 percent lower than what would have occurred under average climate conditions for the season.
The actual report can be found here on the National Climatic Data Center (NDCD) website.
Hay Lift Underway to Save Cows Stranded From Plains Blizzard
The Associated Press reports that a hay lift is underway to save cows stranded in Colorado and Kansas during last week's powerful Plains blizzard.
Colorado launched a hay lift Tuesday to try to save thousands of cattle stranded by 10-foot-high snowdrifts left after back-to-back blizzards paralyzed life on the Plains.
"These cattle have already gone a number of days without food and water. They're just going to lay over dead if we don't do something soon," said Department of Agriculture Executive Director Don Ament.
Last week’s storm dumped as much 3 feet of snow on the already hard hit mountains and Plains, and state and municipal crews from the Rockies to the Oklahoma Panhandle to Nebraska were still digging out highways and trying to reach isolated homes on Tuesday.
The article says one of the problems rescuers are facing is that many cargo helicopters that can be used to deliver hay to the animals are current in Iraq or Afghanistan. The article also says a repeat of 1997 is hoped to be avoided. In 1997 30,000 farm animals perished after a blizzard.
The Weather Channel's Greg Forbes blogs that 2006 is the new wildfire record holder for the number of acres burned.
Wildfires in 2006 have now burned a record 8,693,994 acres as of Wednesday morning, September 13, with records kept all the way back to 1960. That acreage is roughly equal to the land areas of Massachusetts, Connecticut, and Rhode Island combined!
You can keep track of the total of burned acres that continues to increase daily by following this statistics page from the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC). More wildfire stats can be found here.
Dust Bowl Conditions Return to Northern Great Plains
The New York Times article reports that dust bowl conditions have returned to of the northern great plains.
"It's a grim situation," said Herman Schumacher, the owner of a livestock market in Herreid, S.D., a small town near the North Dakota line where 37,000 head of cattle were sold from May through July, compared with 7,000 in the corresponding three months last year. "There's absolutely no grass in the pastures, and the water holes are all dried up. So a lot of people have no choice but to sell off their herds and get out of the business."
Drought experts say parts of the states most severely affected - Nebraska, the Dakotas, Montana and Wyoming - have been left in far worse shape because of recent history: several years of dry conditions, a winter with little snow and then, with moisture reserves in the soil long gone, a wave of record heat this summer.
By late August, rain had fallen several times in some areas, but Bob Hall, an extension crops specialist at South Dakota State University, said it amounted to "a drip in a bucket."
"The bottom line is that even if we got relief starting today, at this minute," Dr. Hall said, "it would take a few years economically to recover."
The Drough Monitor is a good resource for keeping up with drough conditions in the United States. The Long Term Palmer index shows quite a few areas of the country are facing moderate to extreme drought conditions.
Severe California Heatwave Kills People, Livestock and Crops
The heat wave that struck California last week was unprecedented in California's history. Here are some highlights that show the serious impact the severe heat wave had on humans, animals and crops in the region.
Epochal event: "It has been hotter for longer than ever before, and the weather patterns that caused the scorching temperatures were positively freakish. The region's last significant hot spell -- in 1972 -- lasted two days, and never in the past has the Bay Area suffered through as many consecutive days of temperatures above 110."
163 humans killed and counting: "In California, the sweltering heat that punished the state for two weeks subsided, but the number of confirmed or suspected heat-related deaths climbed to 163 as county coroners worked through a backlog of cases."
25,000+ cattle killed: "New reports say thta Central California between Bakersfield and Redding is home to approximately 2.5 million cattlem of which 25,000 died because of the triple-digit temperatures since July 14."
Crops damaged: "Agriculture experts say peach, plum, nectarine and walnut crops have been destroyed this year. California farm losses could drive up national food prices in coming months."
Tomatoes split open by the heat. "Tomatoes being grown for salsa, ketchup and pasta sauces were found split in the fields, which will make them hard to sell."
Hundreds of thousands of chickens and turkeys killed. "About 700,000 chickens and 160,000 turkeys have been killed in the valley"
Bats fell dead onto California streets. "People aren't the only ones feeling a West Coast heat wave -- bats are literally falling off their perches and onto the streets in California."
Leading websites like MySpace.com forced offline by power outages.
This is really terrifying. Should global warming continue to make longer-lasting and more intense heat waves as is expected it could seriously impair our food supply by both killing livestock and damaging crops. The heat wave is expected to travel east this week.
Experts believe this is just a sign of things to come thanks to global warming. New data has also found that an average of 900 people per year have been killed in the U.S. because of heat between 1999 and 2003.
George Luber, an epidemiologist who studies heat wave deaths for the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, says the current situation is on track to be "the most active one that I can recall" in terms of heat deaths.
A new analysis by Luber this week shows that between 1999 and 2003, the United States averaged nearly 900 heat-related deaths each year. This year, with 132 reported in central California alone, could be worse, he said.
It does look like heat-related deaths will be up this year. It is only August 1st and a significant heat wave is now threatening the Midwest and the East Coast. Chicago has already reported new deaths from this heat wave. The scary thought is what will the death tolls from heat waves for both humans and livestock be like in ten or twenty years? Stay safe out there in these extreme temperatures.
TheStar.co.nz reports that the first megacryometeor has been reported in Africa. The megacryometeor was the size of a microwave and fell during a cloudless day. A Nasa scientists considers the megacryometeor a sign of "serious environmental problems."
Research conducted by a Nasa- affiliated scientist suggests that the frozen object that plummeted from the clear sky last Friday morning was one of the first "megacryometeors" to be recorded in Africa.
And Professor Jesus Martinez-Frias, head of the Planetary Geology Laboratory at the Centro de Astrobiología in Madrid, has warned that the microwave oven-sized ice object could be a portent of "serious environmental problems".
Frias is an authority in the megacryometeor phenomenon, having written a number of research papers on possible reasons for its development. According to his research, falling ice balls have been recorded since the 19th century.
And, six years ago, a plague of falling ice balls caused extensive damage to cars and an industrial storage facility in the Iberian Peninsula.
Treehugger has more about megacryometeor including a photograph. Treehugger says scientists have linked the giant ice balls to an unusual condition in the "tropopause," the boundary between the troposphere (the lower atmosphere) and the stratosphere.
Located five to nine miles above the surface, the tropopause marks the limit of clouds and is important in the development of storms. Global warming may be making the tropopause colder, moister and more turbulent, creating conditions in which ice crystals grow like ordinary hailstones in thunderclouds, but much, much bigger. We recommend watching the skies and stocking up on umbrellas.
An umbrella might not stop a large object like a megacryometeor.
Some interesting temperature fluctuations occured earlier this month in Nebraska. The rapid temperature increases are known as heat bursts. The incidents are listed on a NOAA Page.
Heat bursts are caused by decaying thunderstorms and only develop in an extremely unique environment. The rare setup for a heat burst is dry air directly beneath a weakening elevated thunderstorm. When a thunderstorm is weakening air within the thunderstorm begins to sink. If this sinking air is very dry and high enough it will begin to accelerate toward the ground since it is more dense. Any remaining precipitation will fall through this dry air and quickly evaporate. As the air continues downward, it warms rapidly due to compression.
A heat burst is noted by a rapid increase in temperature, a drop in the dew point temperature and an increase in winds. Here are some readings that occurred this morning.
The article lists several heat bursts that occured that evening. The greatest temperature change was at Kearney, Nebraksa where readings went from 70 degrees to 93 degrees between 4 and 5 am. Wow! A 23 degree rise in temperature in an hour.
The Summit Daily Newsreports that the incredibly dry air in Northern Arizona has stirred up dust particles which has turn some of the snow falling in Colorado a brownish color.
In some spots Thursday morning, the snow looked like it was tinted chocolate-brown, prompting calls from concerned area residents.
"It's pretty much statewide," said Ethan Greene, director of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. "We've had reports from the San Juans, Winter Park ... all over."
Greene said exceptionally dry conditions in Northern Arizona contributed to the dust event, with a wind plume carrying the dust across most of Colorado.
Greene said the Copper Mountain ski patrol reported possible impacts to snow stability from the dust layers, with some easy shears occurring in the snowpack where new snow accumulated atop the dust.
If the long dry spell in Northern Arizon makes you wonder about the possibility of a return to the dust bowl area you are not alone. Accuweather has responded with a dust bowl feature that looks at the possibility of another dust bowl occuring.
The Dust Bowl, which lasted from 1931-1939, was a severe drought that struck a wide swath of the Great Plains. It was a catastrophic blow to the U.S. economy, which was already staggering under the weight of the Great Depression. The Dust Bowl was the worst drought in U.S. history, eventually covering more than 75 percent of the country. Solar radiation heating the parched and blighted land caused temperatures in the region to rise to record-breaking levels.
"1936 was the hottest summer ever recorded across much of the Midwest and East," said Abrams. "Many of the single-day and monthly record-high temperatures across the eastern two-thirds of the country are from that year."
The Dust Bowl was also noted for the huge dust storms that billowed across the Great Plains and swallowed millions of acres of farmland at a time. While a Dust Bowl-level drought could occur again, it is highly unlikely that the nation will see a return of the dust storms.
The article also suggests there could be a hurricane connection as the 1930s were very active years in the tropics. Let's hope there is no connection because we already have the increased hurricane activity and we really don't need huge dust storms to go along with them. (via Weather Guys)
The Associated Press reports that the National Weather Service (NWS) says January was the warmest on record for the U.S. The AP notes that while the U.S. was basking in warmth parts of Europe and Asia were frigid.
The country's average temperature for the month was 39.5 degrees Fahrenheit, 8.5 degrees above average for January, the National Climatic Data Center said Tuesday. The old record for January warmth was 37.3 degrees set in 1953.
On the other hand, while much of the United States was basking in warm weather, parts of Europe and Asia were being battered by bitter cold. Climate details for the rest of the world for January are expected to be available next week.
During the month the jet stream, a strong high-altitude wind that guides weather fronts from west to east, stayed unusually far to the north, keeping the coldest air in Canada and Alaska, the agency said.
Keeping that cold air to the north allowed mild Pacific air to moderate temperatures across the contiguous states, leading to the warm conditions.
The article said the energy demand for January was 20% less than it could have been. Some people didn't get quite as hard as they could have by the rising fuel costs. They may not be so lucky in February.
Reuters reports that tornadoes struck the New Orleans regions that were already damaged by Hurricane Katrina last September. The twisters caused damage to the Louis Armstrong International Airport.
"Don't ever ask the question, `What else could happen?'" said Marcia Paul Leone, a mortgage banker who was surveying the new damage to her Katrina-flooded home.
She would go no farther than the front porch of her house Thursday morning. Windows were blown out, and the building appeared to be leaning.
"I've been in the mortgage business for 20 years. I know when something's unsafe," she said.
Electricity was knocked out at Louis Armstrong International Airport, rounding passenger flights and leaving travelers to wait in a dimly lit terminal powered by generators. The storm also ripped off part of a concourse roof, slammed one jetway into another, and flipped motorized runway luggage carts.
The AP article said the NWS believes the damage was caused by two tornadoes.
NOAA has announced the creation of The Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale (NESIS), which will assign a ranking to snowstorms shortly after they have ended. NESIS scores are a function of the area affected by the snowstorm, the amount of snow, and the number of people living in the path of the storm. A table shows some past storms that have already been assigned rankings according to the NESIS. The blizzard of 1993 tops the list with an NESIS score of 13.20 and a Category 5 ranking.
Reuters reports that a NASA study has confirmed that 2005 was the hottest year ever recorded. Recorded temperatures go back to 1890 but scientists believe last year was the hottest year in thousands of years. It is yet more evidence that we are in a period of global warming. And as the chart on the right shows the five hottest years have all occured very recently.
All five of the hottest years since modern record-keeping began in the 1890s occurred within the last decade, according to analysis by NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies.
In descending order, the years with the highest global average annual temperatures were 2005, 1998, 2002, 2003 and 2004, NASA said in a statement.
"It's fair to say that it probably is the warmest since we have modern meteorological records," said Drew Shindell of the NASA institute in New York City.
"Using indirect measurements that go back farther, I think it's even fair to say that it's the warmest in the last several thousand years."
NASA has provided some images and data about the warm temperatures in 2005 on this webpage.
200mph Wind Recorded on Grandfather Mountain in North Carolina
WRAL.com reports that a 200mph wind has damaged the visitor center on Grandfather Mountain in North Carolina. The winds may have been higher but the gauge only reads as high as 200mph.
Officials at Grandfather Mountain said the upper limit on their anemometer is 200 mph, but the needle on the gauge went beyond its limit, leading weather observers to speculate that the wind speeds exceeded 200 mph. The highest wind speed ever recorded in the Eastern U.S. was 231 mph at Mount Washington, N.H. on April 12, 1934.
Grandfather Mountain's summit visitors center suffered extensive damage when the wind blew out three double-strength, steel-wire-reinforced windows, ripped up floor tiles, blew open a locked door; tore a wooden mantel off a wall and upended a 300-pound boulder that was cemented into the parking area.
Winds also knocked down trees leading to power outages in other parts of North Carolina.
MSNBC.com has an article about Kenneth Libbrecht, a professor of physics at the California Institute of Technology, and his snowflake research. Libbrecht studies the phsyics behind snowflake creation. Several of Libbrecht's snowflake discoveries are being used on snowflake stamps by USPS. Libbrecht travels to find the snowflakes with the most unusual crystal types.
When Libbrecht started making snowflakes in the laboratory, he took microscopic photographs in order to be able to study the basic physics of each flake. In 2001, he started capturing images of natural snowflakes.
Location is important.
"Fairbanks sometimes offers some unusual crystal types, because it's so cold," Libbrecht said. "Warmer climates, for example, in New York state and the vicinity, tend to produce less spectacular crystals."
"I visit the frozen North and wait for snow to fall," Libbrecht said in a recent e-mail interview. "I'm in northern Ontario right now."
Photographs of some of Libbrecht's coolest snowflakes can be found here. And as for the question about whether snowflakes are really all different Libbrecht says yes:
"The answer is basically yes, because there is such an incredibly large number of possible ways to make a complex snowflake," Libbrecht said. "In many cases, there are very clear differences between snow crystals, but of course there are many similar crystals as well. In the lab we often produce very simple, hexagonal crystals, and these all look very similar."
Are changes already taking place in the Gulf Stream? New Scientist reports that a group of scientists have measured a major drop in the amount of warm water in the Gulf Stream.
Harry Bryden at the National Oceanography Centre in Southampton, UK, whose group carried out the analysis, says he is not yet sure if the change is temporary or signals a long-term trend. "We don't want to say the circulation will shut down," he told New Scientist. "But we are nervous about our findings. They have come as quite a surprise."
The North Atlantic is dominated by the Gulf Stream - currents that bring warm water north from the tropics. At around 40° north - the latitude of Portugal and New York – the current divides. Some water heads southwards in a surface current known as the subtropical gyre, while the rest continues north, leading to warming winds that raise European temperatures by 5°C to 10°C.
But when Bryden's team measured north-south heat flow last year, using a set of instruments strung across the Atlantic from the Canary Islands to the Bahamas, they found that the division of the waters appeared to have changed since previous surveys in 1957, 1981 and 1992. From the amount of water in the subtropical gyre and the flow southwards at depth, they calculate that the quantity of warm water flowing north had fallen by around 30%.
Scientists have long feared that a reduction in the amount of warm water in the Gulf Stream or a disruption of the Gulf Stream could bring in a new ice age. An article last year in the Independent discussed this possibility.
A report by the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme in Sweden -- launched by Nobel prize-winner Professor Paul Crutzen and other top scientists -- warned last week that pollution threatened to "trigger changes with catastrophic consequences" like these.
Scientists have long expected that global warming could, paradoxically, cause a devastating cooling in Europe by disrupting the Gulf Stream, which brings as much heat to Britain in winter as the sun does: the US National Academy of Sciences has even described such abrupt, dramatic changes as "likely". But until now it has been thought that this would be at least a century away.
The new research, by scientists at the Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Acquaculture Science at Lowestoft and Canada's Bedford Institute of Oceanography, as well as Woods Hole, indicates that this may already be beginning to happen.
More data will be needed to see if this feared change is underway. The Media Cynic is also discussing this story.
The Associated Press reports that the killer tornado that killed over twenty people in Southern Indiana was a very large strong F3 tornado. Tornadoes of that strength are rare in November.
The deadly tornado that obliterated homes across a swath of southwestern Indiana was unusually intense and fast, packing winds that topped 200 mph as it roared through the night at up to 75 mph, meteorologists said Monday.
The storm's strength, its 41-mile path of destruction and the fact that it struck in the middle of the night in November are all unusual, said Dan McCarthy, warning coordinator at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Okla.
The Tornado Project has a web page that explains the Fujita Scale. They also have a list of this year's killer tornadoes. Sunday mornings tornado was the worst so far this year. There is a risk of severe weather in the Midwest today according to the SPC convection outlook.
Update: Here is a link to the NWS Survey indicating that the tornado was an F3. A post on our BloggersBlog.com site has links to local blogosphere coverage and photos.
A powerful tornado has caused extensive damage and killed at least 11 people in Southern Indiana and Kentucky according to a CNN news story.
One resident of the trailer park told WFIE of Evansville she saw a tornado pick up a car with members of her family in it and toss the vehicle into a tree. Brandi Crawley said no one was seriously injured.
"The damage is very, very extensive," said Chad Bennett, an assistant fire chief in Newburgh in Warrick County. He said the area hardest hit was just north of the city limits.
"Now that daylight has come, it is making it a little more easy to see the scope of the damage, and it is very shocking."
Bennett estimated the damage path was about 3/4 of a mile wide and 20 miles long.
Before this tornado there had only been 7 killer tornadoes killing a total of ten people according to this page from the Storm Prediction Center. Tornadoes are not uncommon in November but the strength of this tornado does sound more like the tornadoes typically seen in May and June. The National Weather Service should release data about the strength of this tornado tomorrow.
Update: An MSNBC.com article quotes a local meteorologist who says the tornado was an F3 or higher.
Ryan Presley, a weather service meteorologist in Paducah, Ky., said a single tornado touched down near Smith Mills in western Kentucky and cut a 15- to 20-mile swath through Indiana's Vanderburgh and Warrick counties.
The tornado appears to have been an F3, with winds ranging from 158 mph to 206 mph, and may have been even stronger, Presley said.
LiveScience.com has published a list of the top ten natural disaster threats which include earthquakes, hurricanes, asteroids, tsunamis, heat waves and volcanos.
Recently we have been unfortunate enough to witness several of these disasters. The recent onslaught of hurricanes, the massive earthquake in Pakistan that has killed over 70,000, last year's deadly tsunami and Europe's heat wave in 2003 that killed tens of thousands of people.
MSNBC.com is reporting that a Nor'easter has formed and is being amplified by Hurricane Wilma, which is located very far offshore. The NWS said the storm is a strong storm even without Wilma's help.
An early nor'easter reinforced by distant Hurricane Wilma on Tuesday pounded beaches with 20-foot waves, knocked out power to thousands of people and spread rain across the Northeast, where many residents were still cleaning up from flooding earlier in the month.
The low pressure system has intensified with added moisture from Wilma.
Twenty-foot waves eroded New Jersey beaches. Dozens of flights were canceled at Boston's Logan Airport and gusts to 70 mph were reported on Cape Cod.
The storm was drawing moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Wilma, which was passing far offshore after battering Florida a day earlier.
"It's getting some energy from Wilma, but it's its own separate system," said Alan Dunham, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Taunton. The nor'easter is "going to be a good storm in it's own right."
Despite the strong winds and rain the Northeast is actually very lucky compared to how bad it would have been if Wilma had hugged the east coast on its way north. Fortunately Wilma is 600 miles to the east and is moving north rapidly at a speed of over 50 mph.
Media Access to Government Meteorologists Restricted?
A report in the Raw Story says that media requests for interviews with meteorologists from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), including the National Weather Service (NWS), now has to be approved first by the Department of Commerce. Some NOAA mets were surprised when they were informed by Raw Story of this change.
"I have been worked for NOAA for roughly 15 years," said a NOAA employee speaking of both the Department media policy and the Teet email. "There has never been a blanket policy of needing approval before granting an interview with a national media outlet."
Another NOAA employee, also wishing to remain anonymous, concurred.
"This is a big change in our policy with the media," he said. "This comes all the way down from DOC," he added, indicating that such media decisions were formerly made at the local level.
It isn't clear why interview requests can no longer be handled by the local NWS centers but at a minimum it ads another layer of bureaucracy to the interview process. The Raw Story article has a copy of the memo that was sent to NOAA employees about the change in procedure. The new procedure makes little sense and seems likely to slow down the transfer of information from the NOAA and the NWS to the public.
Rita has been downgraded to a tropical depression and has moved away from the Texas and Louisiana coast. Unfortunately, she has become a severe weather and
torando threat. This webpage
which lists current tornado and severe weather warnings has been showing a new tornado warning every few minutes. Yesterday, Rita produced 21 tornadoes yesterday and has already exceeded that number today. The Storm Prediction Center provides information about current severe weather and also tracks recorded wind damage reports and tornado reports.
Rita's remnants are currently headed east into Alabama. They are
forecast to evenutally end up in the Northeast as a rain producer.
Hopefully, Rita will not break Hurricane Frances' record of 117 tornado
reports from a hurricane. This NOAA article talks about the tornadoes produced by hurricanes last year:
"The number of tornadoes associated with tropical storms and hurricanes was extraordinary and can be partially blamed for the high number of overall tornado reports," McCarthy said. Tropical Storm Bonnie and five land-falling hurricanes—Charley, Frances, Gaston, Ivan and Jeanne—affected the mid-Atlantic and Southeast states during August and September. Tornadoes frequently occur in the northeast quadrant of northward advancing tropical systems or their remnants.
Hurricane Frances produced the most tornadoes for a tropical system with a preliminarily number of 117 reports. Frances tops Hurricane Beulah, which spawned 115 tornadoes in September 1967. Hurricane Ivan was close with 104 tornado reports, and a total of 16 tornadoes were reported in association with Hurricane Jeanne.
A tornado with winds of at least 130mph has hit the city of Birmingham in the UK damaging homes and tossing cars. The BBC reports that an area south of the city center was badly damaged by the storm.
"Cars were forced to the other side of the road, bins went through car windows. Leaves, tiles and glass were all across the road," Hockley resident Estelle Skidmore said.
"I got home to find one tree crashed onto the front of my house, another crashed from my garden into my neighbour's garden, and chimneys smashed to smithereens after falling off my neighbour's house," said Liz Munro from Moseley.
The strength of the tornado was very unusual for the UK. 130mph would classify the tornado as an F2 on the Fujita scale used in the United States. However, the UK uses a different measurement system. The UK's Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO) rated the storm as a three or four on their system called the TORRO Tornado Intensity Scale.
An intense heat wave has killed 18 people so far in Phoenix, Arizona. On July 18, 2005 the city hit a record high minimum temperature of 91 degrees. Highs have been over 110 degrees multiple times this July. The city has opened shelters to help some of the city's 10,000 to 20,000 homeless people find cool shelter. Tents of also been set up in the downtown area. MSNBC.com has a report on the deadly heat wave.
"I don't know why I'm not burnt to pieces," said Chris Cruse, 48, after taking refuge in a shelter.
Four more bodies were found Wednesday. Fourteen of the victims were thought to be homeless. Authorities did not know if a man found by the side of a road Sunday had a permanent residence.
The other three victims were elderly women, including one whose home cooling system was not on, police said.
"Most of us just run from air-conditioned box to air-conditioned box, so it's hard to imagine how omnipresent the heat really is for the homeless here," said Phoenix police Sgt. Randy Force.
The 2005 hurricane season is off to the fastest start in recorded history. Four storms have already been recorded and today is only July 6th. The hurricane season doesn't even peak until September. The National Hurricane Center said, "This is the earliest date ever to have four named tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Basic." Tropical Storm Cindy made landfall near New Orleans as a strong tropical storm but hurricane experts are
most concerned about Hurricane Dennis which threatens to become a major hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Dennis is already a Cat 1 hurricane which maximum sustained winds of 80mph. More about the storms can be found on the National Hurricane Center's website. Some forums discussing the hurricanes can be found at Wright-Weather.com and PalmBeachPost.com
Insurers Expect Huge Future Storm Costs from Global Warming
The Association of British Insurers has issued a new report that shows insurance costs will skyrocket if something is not done to halt or prevent global warming. The ABI said the average annual insurance costs from storms will rise by $27 billion by 2080. A BBC article says the new report also states the costs from the U.S. hurricane season will increase by 75%.
"Governments now have a chance to make rational choices for the future, before it is too late," said ABI director of general insurance Nick Starling.
"Making the right decisions based on first class assessment of the financial costs of climate change will ensure lower costs for the public in future."
In addition to the ABI local scientists have also been pressuring the G8 governments to do something about the global warming problem.
The Associated Press reports that a heat wave is causing alarm in Southern Europe. Temperatures in Southern Spain have been hitting 40 degrees Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) for weeks now according to the AP report. Europeans are hoping this heat wave will not be as bad as the one in 2003 that killed over 40,000 people. 20,000 people in Italy alone were killed by the heat wave primarily due to a lack of air conditioning.
With Spain well used to high summer temperatures, many residential buildings are equipped with air conditioning which helped limit the 2003 official death toll to 101, whereas in neighbouring France, at least 14,847 people died.
French Health Minister Xavier Bertrand has therefore promised the installation of a nationwide emergency system, including a requirement that all establishments for the elderly should have at least one air-conditioned room.
Italy was also on high alert, with the health risks linked to above-normal temperatures highlighted by the release of an official report saying that almost 20,000 Italians had died in the 2003 heat wave -- more than double the previous estimate.
The Europe-wide toll for the extraordinary heat wave of 2003 had previously been estimated at around 30,000 but the Italian figure would boost it to 40,000.
Update: The BBC provides these pictures about the drought in Southern Europe.
National Geographic has an amazing 360-degree video of the inside of a tornado. It took seven cameras and a direct score with an approaching tornado to produce the video:
It's a technological first. A well-placed probe fitted with 7 video cameras—6 with a 60-degree field-of-view designed to achieve a full 360-degree field-of-view (one failed during deployment, resulting in a 300-degree field-of-view) and one pointing upward—captures footage inside a tornado, providing visual data on ground wind speeds where the storm does the greatest damage.
Arlene Gets 2005 Hurricane Season Off to a Quick Start
The 2005 hurricane season only started officially on June 1st and
already we have Tropical Storm Arlene in the Caribbean. The storm is
forecast to move into the gulf and threaten the North Central U.S.
gulf coast and the panhandle of Florida. Florida is very storm
weary after dealing with four hurricanes from the 2004 hurricane
season. The latest advisories on Arlene can be found on the Tropical Prediction Center's website. This year the TPC is also offering RSS feeds so you can subscribe to the feed to receive updates.
Hot weather in the Seattle metropolitan area has boosted temperature
20+ degrees above average. Temperatures are expected to reach the upper
80s to low 90s in the normally cool climate that is perfect for coffee consumption. The Associated Press reported that Thursday's high temperature of 89 degrees at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport broke a 58-year-old record. The National Weather Service issued the first-ever heat advisory for the area:
Temperatures will climb into the upper 80s and lower 90s today in
parts of the Everett-Seattle-Tacoma urban corridor...more than
20 degrees above normal for late may. Excessive physical activity
in heat this intense can be dangerous. The elderly...very young...
sick...and persons with heart conditions are most at risk.
More on hot temperature in Seattle and Washington can be found here on the NWS website.
Hurricane season begins on June 1st. That doesn't mean a hurricane
can't or won't form before that date. It is just the date the National Hurricane Center (NHC) uses to begin issuing regular tropical weather advisories and discussions. The NHC will issue advisories if a tropical disturbance forms before June 1st. The most active period for hurricanes is usually during August, September and October with the peak falling during
the month of September. Last year's season was unusual with four
hurricanes hitting Florida. The Associated Press reports on
this year's forecast:
Conrad C. Lautenbacher Jr., head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, predicted 12 to 15 tropical storms, seven to nine of them becoming hurricanes, and three to five of those major hurricanes, with winds of at least 111 mph.
"We can't predict this far in advance how many will strike land," he said. But given the active season, "be prepared for two or three of these to make landfall."
Forecasters at the NOAA Space Environment Center in Boulder, Colo., observed a geomagnetic storm on Sunday, May 15, which they classified as an extreme event, measuring G-5—the highest level on the NOAA Space Weather Scales. As a result NOAA has issued a Space Weather Warning. In the right-hand corner is an image of the storm from the SOHO satellite. A larger version of the image is available here. Slashdot has an ongoing discussion about this story. Here is part of NOAA's Weather Warning announcement:
"This event registered a 9 on the K-Index, which measures the maximum deviation of the Earth's magnetic field in a given three-hour period," said Gayle Nelson, lead operations specialist at NOAA Space Environment Center. "The scale ranges from 0 to 9, with 9 being the highest. This was a significant event."
Possible impacts from such a geomagnetic storm include widespread power system voltage control problems; some grid systems may experience complete collapse or blackouts. Transformers may experience damage. Spacecraft operations may experience extensive surface charging; problems with orientation; uplink